The 'Novid' mystery: How have these Australians managed to avoid COVID-19?

Years and millions of cases into the pandemic, these Australians still haven't caught COVID-19. A leading epidemiologist says the reason why may be anything but extraordinary.

A split image. On the left is a photo of a man smiling. On the right is a photo of a man and a woman smiling while standing outdoors.

As far as they know, Johann Suhood (left) and Steven and Tracy Davey have not yet caught COVID-19. Source: Supplied

We're almost four years into a pandemic that has resulted in more than 11.6 million COVID-19 cases in Australia, but Tracy and Steven Davey aren't among them.

They are, as far as they know, among a rare group of 'Novids' — those who are yet to catch , even while Australia is believed to be in the throes of an eighth wave.

It's hard to know just how many others are like them. Still, a, based on data from the Kirby Institute and the National Centre for Immunisation Research and Surveillance, that about 10 per cent of Australia's adult population had never caught the disease.
Tracy, 58, and her husband, 64, live on Victoria's Bellarine Peninsula. She said they were sticklers to the rules during the height of the pandemic when there were face mask mandates, social distancing requirements, and at times, limits on how far you could travel from your home, among other restrictions.

"We didn't go anywhere, we stayed home, we did what we needed to do," she said.

Now that Australia is living with the virus, Davey said their prevention approach was more casual. They don't wear masks, but are fully vaccinated, wash their hands more frequently, and will try to avoid large crowds where possible - which she said hasn't always been easy while staying at caravan parks and visiting tourist hotspots while travelling around the country for the past 18 months.

Davey said they also use rapid antigen tests (RATs) when they have COVID-like symptoms. So far, they've all returned a negative result.

But she can't put it down to any one reason as to why they haven't yet caught it.

"Maybe things like generally avoiding being too close to people and washing our hands more frequently does help," she said.
A woman sitting on a chair outdoors as a man administers a COVID-19 vaccine into her arm.
While travelling around the country, Tracy Davey rolled up her sleeve for a COVID-19 booster shot at Lake Argyle, Western Australia. Source: Supplied / Tracy Davey
Johann Suhood, 29, is also yet to test positive for COVID-19. He puts it down to sheer luck.

The Sydneysider said he "stuck to all the rules" during the days of heavy restrictions and while he was cautious as they were wound down, he's now less concerned.

Suhood said he washes his hands more frequently and will sometimes do a RAT "before going to see certain people, depending on their health status". But he doesn't avoid large crowds, no longer wears a face mask, and has not had this year - which the Department of Health says "may be considered" for those aged between 18 and 64 "based on an individual risk-benefit assessment".

He has also, at times, been a close contact of someone who later tested positive for COVID-19.

"I don't think the reason I haven't caught it yet is down to anything specific; it's probably just a lot of luck," he said.

"I think I've let my guard down now. Most of the people I've met have been fine [after contracting COVID-19]; I'm not going to be able to avoid it forever."
A man with his arms folded posing for a photo.
Johann Suhood, 29, is also yet to test positive for COVID-19. He puts it down to sheer luck. Source: Supplied / Johann Suhood
There's no clear answer to the 'Novid' phenomenon, Professor Catherine Bennett, Deakin University's chair of epidemiology, said.

"Some people are just lucky, and some people might've had it and not realised," she said.

Bennett said some research also suggested that, even as the pandemic arose, some people might have had better cross-immunity from other coronaviruses, like the common cold.

"So that might mean that, while they might not have completely avoided exposure, they might be less likely to have an infection as a result, or if they did they’d be more likely to be asymptomatic," she said.
There have been 11.63 million confirmed COVID-19 cases in Australia, according to the World Health Organization. But it's difficult to glean from that what proportion of people believe they have not had an infection, Bennett said.

"You don't know how much of the figure is made up of repeat infections, and of course there are people who were infected but never tested or reported."

"So that's why people, particularly vulnerable people, should consider having a second booster if they haven't already," Bennett said.

"But we should all be mindful about public transport and wearing masks around people, or following the rules where some hospitals and aged care facilities are bringing back mask mandates".
The a 2023 COVID-19 booster dose for all adults aged 65 years and older, and those aged between 18 and 64 with medical comorbidities or complex health needs.

It says adults aged between 18 and 64, and children aged between 5 and 17 at risk of severe illness, should "consider" rolling up their sleeves.

It says the booster shot should be administered at least 6 months after their last dose or confirmed COVID-19 infection.

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5 min read
Published 11 November 2023 6:36am
By David Aidone
Source: SBS News



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