'Sigh of relief' for borrowers as inflation comes in at 3.8 per cent

The new inflation figures were released on Wednesday.

Retail shoppers seen on a Sydney street

The Reserve Bank will meet next week to decide on interest rates. Source: AAP / Bianca de Marchi

Fears of another interest rate hike have been partly allayed with the latest inflation figures coming in as expected by economists.

The annual rate of headline inflation increased to 3.8 per cent, up from 3.6 per cent, marking the first increase in the consumer price index in 18 months, the Australian Bureau of Statistics said.

But a higher June quarter number was expected by the Reserve Bank of Australia and economists, with the headline figure in line with forecasts.
A graph showing the rate of inflation in Australia, which is now at 3.8 per cent
How Australia's inflation rate has changed
Deloitte Access Economics partner Stephen Smith said the June consumer price index should "put to rest the tired notion the RBA should lift rates", a move he believes would "tempt a recession".

"What we have seen today is confirmation that inflation and inflationary expectations are not running rampant," he said.

The factors still driving inflation, such as rents — pushed higher by housing shortages — and fruit prices altered by bad weather, were not fixed by higher interest rates, Mr Smith said.
A table showing Australia compared with the world on interest rates and inflation
Australia's interest rates are lower than some places, but inflation is higher.
Betashares chief economist David Bassanese said the consumer price index for June should rule out an interest rate hike at the August interest rate meeting next Tuesday.

"Those with a mortgage can breathe a sigh of relief, at least for now, though Australia retains a sticky inflation problem and interest rate increases at some stage this year can still not yet be confidently ruled out," he said.

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Published 31 July 2024 11:33am
Source: SBS, AAP



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